07:41 2021-05-18 UTC+00
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|Time||Country||Macroeconomic Indices||Period||Previous Reading||Forecast||Actual Reading||Importance|
|01:50||Gross Domestic Product||1 quarter||2.8% q/q; 11.6% q/q||-1.2% q/q; -4.6% q/q||-1.3% q/q; -5.1% q/q|
A comprehensive measure of Japan's overall production and consumption of goods and services. GDP is a significant report in FX Market, serving as one of the primary indicators of a country's overall economic health.
Robust GDP growth signals a heightened level of economic activity and often a higher demand for the domestic currency. At the same time, economic expansion raises concerns about inflationary pressures which may prompt monetary authorities to increase interest rates. Thus positive GDP readings are generally bullish for the Yen, while negative readings are generally bearish.
Most production reports that lead to Japanese GDP are released before the official GDP number. Therefore, actual GDP figures usually confirm expectations. However, an unexpected release can move markets due to the significance of the figure.
Technically, Gross Domestic Product is calculated in the following way:
GDP = C + I + G + (EX - IM)
The headline figures for GDP are the percentage growth rate from the previous quarter and the annualized percentage change in GDP. Prices used are benchmarked to 1997 prices.
|01:50||GDP Deflator||1 quarter||0.2%||-0.1%||-0.2%|
Broad gauge of inflationary pressures. The GDP Deflator is different from the Consumer Price Index in that it does not take into account changes in the prices of imports and tends to underestimate price changes. The Gross Domestic Product Deflator is also untimely, released quarterly about two months after the reporting period. Nonetheless, it is highly correlated with the CPI and a key indicator of inflation. Consequently, the deflator provides insight into the future direction of monetary policy as the Bank of Japan is inclined to raise interest rates when faced with higher inflation.
Specifically the deflator measures the magnitude of changes in prices for all domestically produced final goods. It is the ratio of output in current prices (nominal GDP) to inflation-adjusted output (real GDP). The headline value is the percentage change in the GDP Deflator from the previous quarter.
|03:30||Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes|
|It's a detailed record of the RBA Reserve Bank Board's most recent meeting, providing in-depth insights into the economic conditions that influenced their decision on where to set interest rates.|
|08:00||Claimant Count Change||Apr||-19.4K||25.6K||-15.1K|
The UK claimant count provides data on those individuals who are out of work and who are claiming some sort of unemployment benefit.
|08:00||Claimant Count Rate||Mar||4.9%||4.9%||4.8%|
The Claimant Count is the UK's most timely measure of unemployment. The report measures the number of people who claim unemployment benefits, but actively seeking work. The Claimant Count serves as a barometer for the health of the UK labor market. Higher job growth accompanies economic expansion and could spark inflationary pressures.
The headline number is a percentage change in the figure.
|08:00||Average Earnings Index||Mar||4.5% 3m/y; 4.4% 3m/y||4.5% 3m/y; 4.6% 3m/y||4.0% 3m/y; 4.6% 3m/y|
|It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when businesses pay more for labor the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer. Data represents the 3-month moving average compared to the same period a year earlier. A figure that excludes bonuses is also released, but not included for lack of significance. Source changed series calculation formula as of Jan 2010|
|14:30||Building Permits||Apr||1755K; 1.7%||1770K; -0.9%||1760K; 0.3%|
The number of new building projects authorized for construction. The figure is widely used as an indicator for developments in the housing market, since receiving a permit to build is the first step in the construction process. Thus growth in Building Permits reflects growth in the construction sector. Also, due to the high outlays needed for construction projects, an increase in Building Permits suggests corporate and consumer optimism. Additionally, because leading indicators for the housing market respond quickly to changes in the business cycle, the Building Permit figure can act as a leading indicator for the economy as a whole.
The headline is the seasonally adjusted percentage change in Building Permits from the previous month.
|14:30||Housing Starts||Apr||1733K; 19.8%||1710K; -2.8%||1569K; -9.5%|
Gauges the change in the number of new houses built in the United States. Housing Starts are one of the earliest indicators of the housing market, only trailing Building Permits in timeliness.
Because high outlays are needed to start construction projects, an increase in Housing Starts implies an increase in investment and business optimism. Finally, the Housing Starts figure gives insight into consumer activity, since new home purchases typically require a large investment for consumers. Given such connections to consumer and corporate sentiment, real estate generally leads economic developments. A sharp drop in new home construction is a warning signal of economic slowdown. Conversely, a rebound in the Housing Starts paves the way for economic recovery.
Housing Starts data is differentiated by building types (single family houses, 2 to 4 residence units and 5 or more residence units). The single family housing starts is a more reliable economic indicator than multi family housing starts, as single family house building is driven by demand and consumer confidence, whereas multi family house building is more often motivated by speculative real estate investors. The report headline is expressed in volume of houses built. The figures are in the thousands of units.
|16:00||House of Lords Economic Affairs Committee hearing|
|At Economic Affairs Committee hearings the representatives of the Bank of England unveil their views on the economic situation and announce steps they are going to take to support economic growth and price stability. Answers on MPs’ questions may reveal new details on the MPC sentiment.|
|16:00||BOE Deputy Governor for Monetary Policy Ben Broadbent Speaks|
|Ben Broadbent became Deputy Governor on 1 July 2014. Prior to that, he was an external member of the Monetary Policy Committee from 1 June 2011. In addition to his membership of the Monetary Policy Committee and Financial Policy Committee, he has specific responsibility within the Bank for Monetary Policy, including monetary analysis and notes.|
|16:00||BOE Deputy Governor for Markets & Banking Sir David Ramsden Speaks|
|BOE MPC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy|
|17:00||SNB Chairman Thomas Jordan Speaks|
|Thomas Jordan is the Chairman of the Governing Board of the Swiss National Bank since April 2012. Traders and investors scrutinize his speeches and comments on the country’s economic situation in order to suppose further actions of the SNB. What is more, the SNB monitors bank sector, thus changes in regulation may influence the currency’s price.|
|18:30||FOMC Member Raphael W. Bostic Speaks|
|Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic - FOMC voting member 2018. Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy. More hawkish than expected is good for currency.|
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