Technical outlook:

The US dollar index dropped through the 104.02 lows intraday on Friday, hitting our projected target at 104.30 earlier. The index has pulled back since then and is seen to be trading close to 104.20 at this point in writing. A push through the 104.53 immediate resistance will confirm that a meaningful bottom is in place and that the bulls are back in control.

The US dollar index has taken out strong support at 104.30 as marked on the 4H chart here. A high probability remains for a bullish reversal from current levels at least towards the 109.00-110.00 zone. If the larger-degree corrective wave is complete from 114.65, the bulls will be back in control soon and resume higher towards fresh highs in the next several weeks.

The US dollar index is facing strong resistance around 107.00 and it needs to be taken out to confirm a potential trend reversal. The three-wave decline from 114.65 through 104.00 looks complete now and a high probability remains for yet another rally above 114.65. Also, note the bullish divergence on the RSI, which is a strong indication of a potential reversal.

Trading idea:

Potential rally against 103.00

Good luck!